Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.034700 0.040465 0.046812 0.054306 0.062903 0.072444 0.083825
2025-08-10 0.024949 0.032165 0.040856 0.052052 0.066043 0.082903 0.104703
2025-08-17 0.018848 0.026543 0.036567 0.050486 0.069201 0.093367 0.126789
2025-08-24 0.015093 0.022986 0.034003 0.050334 0.073721 0.105756 0.152654
2025-08-31 0.012026 0.019679 0.031056 0.048948 0.076056 0.115185 0.175407
2025-09-07 0.010541 0.018376 0.030684 0.051060 0.083468 0.132390 0.210953
2025-09-14 0.008941 0.016556 0.029160 0.051057 0.087503 0.144851 0.240624
2025-09-21 0.007431 0.014584 0.027030 0.049671 0.089006 0.153358 0.264832
2025-09-28 0.006351 0.013162 0.025579 0.049149 0.091743 0.163953 0.293269
2025-10-05 0.005913 0.012855 0.026039 0.052008 0.100564 0.185442 0.341831
2025-10-12 0.005408 0.012319 0.025976 0.053857 0.107728 0.204696 0.388280
2025-10-19 0.004628 0.011073 0.024347 0.052474 0.108692 0.212984 0.415999
2025-10-26 0.004026 0.010116 0.023187 0.051921 0.111295 0.224736 0.451621
2025-11-02 0.003417 0.009025 0.021579 0.050223 0.111428 0.231873 0.479364
2025-11-09 0.002932 0.008133 0.020257 0.048929 0.112198 0.240264 0.510261
2025-11-16 0.002604 0.007559 0.019557 0.048890 0.115564 0.254057 0.552980
2025-11-23 0.002245 0.006833 0.018381 0.047592 0.116023 0.261947 0.584474
2025-11-30 0.002118 0.006704 0.018633 0.049676 0.124241 0.286729 0.652962
2025-12-07 0.001899 0.006275 0.018063 0.049686 0.127703 0.301679 0.702021
2025-12-14 0.001648 0.005697 0.017011 0.048341 0.127809 0.309299 0.735957
2025-12-21 0.001463 0.005281 0.016326 0.047834 0.129860 0.321404 0.780737
2025-12-28 0.001420 0.005304 0.016861 0.050624 0.140359 0.353641 0.873227
2026-01-04 0.001344 0.005203 0.017024 0.052428 0.148562 0.381258 0.957409